tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Assigning the return value of new by reference is deprecated  on line 151
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tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
tag_error <txp:poe_bbclone/> ->  : Function eregi() is deprecated  on line 88
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Stones: Schuldenfalle?

Stones: Schuldenfalle?

Schuldenfalle?

Das Thema Staatsschulden ist ja an dieser Stelle nicht unbedingt neu. Und dass die Schulden der Europäer den Euro ins Wanken bringen auch nicht. Doch eine Meldung, die in der ganzen Lena-Manie der letzten Tage etwas untergegangen zu sein scheint, bringt einen neuen Aspekt in die Euro-Krise: Nicht nur Schuldenmachen ist gefährlich, sondern auch das Sparen! Während das bei der Neuverschuldung noch
ganz eingänglich ist (Schulden-> Zinslast-> Haushaltslöcher-> Neue Schulden..).
Die Länder, die nun in den sauren Apfel beissen und ihre Haushalte konsolidieren wollen, senken die Ausgaben um ein paar Milliarden. Dadurch sinkt das BIP ebenso um ein paar Prozent, was einer selbstgemachten Rezession entspricht. Und jetzt kommts: Dadurch steigt die Schuldenlast relativ zum BIP obwohl der absolute Schuldenstand gleich bleibt. Toll! Und schon haben die Rating-Agenturen wieder einen Grund, die Bonität eines Landes runterzustaufen, was gleich mehr Zinsen auf Staatsanleihen einbringt und den Euro um 2Cent wegsacken lässt. Die finden immer einen Weg..

Noch ein paar Gedanken dazu in Kürze:

- Der Abwärtstrend des Euro relativ zum Dollar ist völlig ungebremst, nach wie vor verliert er ca. 4 Cent pro Monat. Zum Verlassen des Trends müsste der Euro 10 Cent hochspringen oder für mindestens zwei Monate stabil bleiben. Das sehe ich so nicht. Die Währungshändler juckt es offenbar überhaupt nicht, ob die Europäer eine 750Mrd-Bürgschaft organisiert haben oder nicht. The Trend is your friend, denn mit ihm kann man Geld verdienen.

- mit dem oben skizzierten Zusammenhang zwischen Konjunktur-Programm (=Neuverschuldung) und BIP-Entwicklung bekommt die Situation in den USA eine gruselige neue Dimension. Entweder lassen sie ihr 780Mrd $- Programm über die Jahre langsam auslaufen, was den Schuldenstand hochjagt und den Dollar nachhaltig demontiert, oder sie kürzen es bald zusammen und stürzen die Welt in die nächste Rezession. Fazit: Noch ist der Euro nicht verloren..

- Als Rot-Grün zum Jahrtausendwechsel den Bundeshaushalt konsolidieren wollte brach eine Phase der wirtschaftlichen Stagnation über uns herein, die sich erst mit größerer Neuverschuldung in dne Folgejahren wieder auflöste. War das der Effekt? Dann dürften sich Keynes-Anhänger freuen und der Rest verzweifeln.

- Unsere Gesamtverschuldung wird am BIP gemessen, was in etwa so ist, als würde ich eine private Verschuldung am Umsatz meines Arbeitgebers messen. Würde man die Verschuldung von Bund und Ländern am Steueraufkommen messen, dann wären wir nicht bei 70% sondern eher bei 300%. Analog zum Privathaushalt hieße das, dass jemand mit 1500€ netto im Monat und nahezu 100% Konsumquote (weil Alimente an die Rentner Kinder, Auto für die Arbeit und Raten für allerlei Anschaffungen der letzten Jahre) einen Gesamtschuldenberg von über 50.000€ hätte, mit der Hoffnung, sie nach der nächsten Gehaltserhöhung endlich unter Kontrolle bringen zu können.

31. Mai 2010, 12:24 von Andreas Jahn

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